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Natural Science Forum / Earth Science / Meteorology / July 2009SOI, Not CO2, Drives Global Temperature
Influence Of The Southern Oscillation On Tropospheric Temperature 23 Jul 2009 Influence of the Southern Oscillation on tropospheric temperature J. D. McLean Applied Science Consultants, Croydon, Victoria, Australia C. R. de Freitas School of Geography, Geology and Environmental Science, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand R. M. Carter Marine Geophysical Laboratory, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia Time series for the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and global tropospheric temperature anomalies (GTTA) are compared for the 1958?2008 period. GTTA are represented by data from satellite microwave sensing units (MSU) for the period 1980-2008 and from radiosondes (RATPAC) for 1958-2008. After the removal from the data set of short periods of temperature perturbation that relate to near-equator volcanic eruption, we use derivatives to document the presence of a 5- to 7-month delayed close relationship between SOI and GTTA. Change in SOI accounts for 72% of the variance in GTTA for the 29-year-long MSU record and 68% of the variance in GTTA for the longer 50-year RATPAC record. Because El Niño?Southern Oscillation is known to exercise a particularly strong influence in the tropics, we also compared the SOI with tropical temperature anomalies between 20°S and 20°N. The results showed that SOI accounted for 81% of the variance in tropospheric temperature anomalies in the tropics. Overall the results suggest that the Southern Oscillation exercises a consistently dominant influence on mean global temperature, with a maximum effect in the tropics, except for periods when equatorial volcanism causes ad hoc cooling. That mean global tropospheric temperature has for the last 50 years fallen and risen in close accord with the SOI of 5-7 months earlier shows the potential of natural forcing mechanisms to account for most of the temperature variation. Received 16 December 2008; accepted 14 May 2009; published 23 July 2009. Citation: McLean, J. D., C. R. de Freitas, and R. M. Carter (2009), Influence of the Southern Oscillation on tropospheric temperature, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D14104, doi:10.1029/2008JD011637. http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2009/2008JD011637.shtml Warmest Regards Bonzo SOI is driven by ocean temperature, and thus the question is, what caused the ocean temperatures to change. There should be a change in the heat flux and it is very likely this is a forcing is affected by global warming. Actually, this maybe an interesting phenomenon we could see. The rate of El Nino's could change as a result of GW. We could get more and more events like 1997-1998 which was the most recent substantial ENSO. http://environment.about.com/od/globalwarming/a/elninolanina.htm Q > Influence Of The Southern Oscillation On Tropospheric Temperature > [quoted text clipped - 58 lines] > > Bonzo > SOI is driven by ocean temperature, and thus the question is, what > caused the ocean temperatures to change. There should be a change in the > heat flux and it is very likely this is a forcing is affected by global > warming. •• There is NO forcing affected by global warming, because there is NO global warming. BTW what heat flux??? What forcing??? •• Trust Jackass Jake to top post his idiotic response so no one would notice that his garbage IS really garbage. > Actually, this maybe an interesting phenomenon we could see. The rate of > El Nino's could change as a result of GW. We could get more and more > events like 1997-1998 which was the most recent substantial ENSO. •• More idiocy from Jackass Jake > http://environment.about.com/od/globalwarming/a/elninolanina.htm > [quoted text clipped - 62 lines] > > > Bonzo –– –– In real science the burden of proof is always on the proposer, never on the sceptics. So far neither IPCC nor anyone else has provided one iota of valid data for global warming nor have they provided data that climate change is being effected by commerce and industry, and not by natural phenomena. >> SOI is driven by ocean temperature, and thus the question is, what >> caused the ocean temperatures to change. There should be a change in the [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > because there is NO global warming. BTW what > heat flux??? What forcing??? Stupid last post doesn't understand any physics. > •• Trust Jackass Jake to top post his idiotic response > so no one would notice that his garbage IS really [quoted text clipped - 9 lines] >> >> Q Last post did read the link, didn't read anything, he is problem a runaway bot. >>> Influence Of The Southern Oscillation On Tropospheric Temperature >>> 23 Jul 2009 [quoted text clipped - 47 lines] > effected by commerce and industry, and not by > natural phenomena. > >> SOI is driven by ocean temperature, and thus the question is, what > >> caused the ocean temperatures to change. There should be a change in the [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] > > Stupid last post doesn't understand any physics. •• Jackass Jake keeps proclaiming his ignorance, but never provides any real proof except for the aforesaid ignorance. •• BTW - I had a degree in physics before you were born. > > •• Trust Jackass Jake to top post his idiotic response > > so no one would notice that his garbage IS really [quoted text clipped - 7 lines] > > >>http://environment.about.com/od/globalwarming/a/elninolanina.htm •• ROTFLMO: Another AGW alarmist clearing house of no use to anyone. > >>> Influence Of The Southern Oscillation On Tropospheric Temperature > >>> 23 Jul 2009 [quoted text clipped - 38 lines] > >>> Warmest Regards > >>> Bonzo –– –– In real science the burden of proof is always on the proposer, never on the sceptics. So far neither IPCC nor anyone else has provided one iota of valid data for global warming nor have they provided data that climate change is being effected by commerce and industry, and not by natural phenomena. >>>> SOI is driven by ocean temperature, and thus the question is, what >>>> caused the ocean temperatures to change. There should be a change in the [quoted text clipped - 11 lines] > •• BTW - I had a degree in physics before you > were born. Maybe you suffer from dementia and you all forget what science is about. Maybe try to answer the original problem if you can: WHAT caused the ocean heat content to go upwards as is confirmed by CTD, XBT, radiometer and IR ocean surface measurements? You still have no clue? Q >>> •• Trust Jackass Jake to top post his idiotic response >>> so no one would notice that his garbage IS really [quoted text clipped - 58 lines] > effected by commerce and industry, and not by > natural phenomena.  SignatureOur Lady of Blessed Acceleration, don't fail me now! > >>>> SOI is driven by ocean temperature, and thus the question is, what > >>>> caused the ocean temperatures to change. There should be a change in the [quoted text clipped - 19 lines] > > You still have no clue? It sure isn't CO2 in the air. Given the fact that the sea is cooling, as well as the atmosphere, but still remains 1-2C warmer than the atmosphere, explain again how a non-warming atmosphere can transmit heat to a warmer ocean. Mark Addinall. > Q > [quoted text clipped - 67 lines] > > - Show quoted text - > It sure isn't CO2 in the air. Given the fact that the sea is cooling, > as well as the atmosphere, [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > > Mark Addinall. Maybe its the whales and dolphins on heat ;) check photosynthesis in the photoplanktons On Jul 27, 4:44 pm, Kangaroo Court Australia <nwn.webmas...@gmail.com> wrote: > > It sure isn't CO2 in the air. Given the fact that the sea is cooling, > > as well as the atmosphere, [quoted text clipped - 7 lines] > > check photosynthesis in the photoplanktons f.ck off. Check Plank. Mark Addinall. >>>>>> SOI is driven by ocean temperature, and thus the question is, what >>>>>> caused the ocean temperatures to change. There should be a change in the [quoted text clipped - 24 lines] > > Mark Addinall. In the real world, it is still getting hotter thanks to GW, Q >> Q >> [quoted text clipped - 64 lines] >> >> - Show quoted text - SignatureOur Lady of Blessed Acceleration, don't fail me now! On Jul 27, 11:41 am, kangarooistan <kangarooist...@gmail.com> wrote: *> Thank GOD Leo can help *> *> http://docs.google.com/Doc?docid=0AVpOXG2fYkS8ZGNnazl0N3BfNjZnMm5wbmR... *> *> theoldman *> ======== Dear Mr Kanga, So it you, mate, that Theoldman, walking along with Leonardo. Wow, what 's happening to such bright & open mind ? ... at the time when I, going on 70, still climb up my trees everyday by roping for fitness, and run of course along the Atlantic sea cliffs overlooking the Isle of Ré on the West ... ( ran over 2 hours yesterday morning starting at 6 am and returning home at 8 am ) When are you going to put yourself into that "Turcaud Bath" for the sake of your health ...remember we are going to have that cuppa tea one day in the bush ...so look after yourself ! ARE YOU HOOKED ON THAT DIZEAZZEZZZ INDUSTRY & THE FRAUDULENT DIAGNOSTICS THOSE BED SIDE MANNERED QUACKS ARE SPREADING ! Soon for the sake of you, mate, I am going to give away an immediate parade to Anthrax infection, and in your Honour I will call it the MALCOLM FABIAN NATURAL PARADE TO ANTHRAX ... and I want you to try it so easy it is to implement. I will write it soon, as a service to Humanity in remembrance of one of the finest Australia Archeological Pioneer Of All Times : Mr Malcolm Fabian !!! The discoverer of the Phoenicians' sources of Tin & Murex snails Look after yourself, Brother, and don't forget, never touch that tap water sh.t they feed you for drinking & cooking, those ignorant Antipodean criminals Sir Jean-Paul Turcaud Australia Mining Pioneer Founder of the True Geology |
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