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Natural Science Forum / Biology / Paleontology / April 2008



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News: Study says near extinction threatened people

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Robert Karl Stonjek - 25 Apr 2008 14:35 GMT
Study says near extinction threatened people

(AP) -- Human beings may have had a brush with extinction 70,000 years ago, an extensive genetic study suggests. The human population at that time was reduced to small isolated groups in Africa, apparently because of drought, according to an analysis released Thursday.

The report notes that a separate study by researchers at Stanford University estimated the number of early humans may have shrunk as low as 2,000 before numbers began to expand again in the early Stone Age.

"This study illustrates the extraordinary power of genetics to reveal insights into some of the key events in our species' history," Spencer Wells, National Geographic Society explorer in residence, said in a statement. "Tiny bands of early humans, forced apart by harsh environmental conditions, coming back from the brink to reunite and populate the world. Truly an epic drama, written in our DNA."

Wells is director of the Genographic Project, launched in 2005 to study anthropology using genetics. The report was published in the American Journal of Human Genetics.

Previous studies using mitochondrial DNA - which is passed down through mothers - have traced modern humans to a single "mitochondrial Eve," who lived in Africa about 200,000 years ago.

The migrations of humans out of Africa to populate the rest of the world appear to have begun about 60,000 years ago, but little has been known about humans between Eve and that dispersal.

The new study looks at the mitochondrial DNA of the Khoi and San people in South Africa which appear to have diverged from other people between 90,000 and 150,000 years ago.

The researchers led by Doron Behar of Rambam Medical Center in Haifa, Israel and Saharon Rosset of IBM T.J. Watson Research Center in Yorktown Heights, N.Y., and Tel Aviv University concluded that humans separated into small populations prior to the Stone Age, when they came back together and began to increase in numbers and spread to other areas.

Eastern Africa experienced a series of severe droughts between 135,000 and 90,000 years ago and the researchers said this climatological shift may have contributed to the population changes, dividing into small, isolated groups which developed independently.

Paleontologist Meave Leakey, a Genographic adviser, commented: "Who would have thought that as recently as 70,000 years ago, extremes of climate had reduced our population to such small numbers that we were on the very edge of extinction."

Today more than 6.6 billion people inhabit the globe, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

The research was funded by the National Geographic Society, IBM, the Waitt Family Foundation, the Seaver Family Foundation, Family Tree DNA and Arizona Research Labs.

---

On the Net:

The Genographic Project: http://www.nationalgeographic.com/genographic 

© 2008 The Associated Press
http://www.physorg.com/news128257729.html

Posted by
Robert Karl Stonjek
John Roth - 25 Apr 2008 23:00 GMT
On Apr 25, 7:35 am, "Robert Karl Stonjek" <ston...@ozemail.com.au>
wrote:
> Study says near extinction threatened people
>
> (AP) -- Human beings may have had a brush with extinction 70,000 years ago, an extensive genetic study suggests. The human population at that time was reduced to small isolated groups in Africa, apparently because of drought, according to an analysis released Thursday.

...

> Posted by
> Robert Karl Stonjek

The paper they've sensationalized is here:

http://www.ajhg.org/AJHG/fulltext/S0002-9297%2808%2900255-3?large_figure=true

It's open access. Enjoy seeing the difference between what they
actually said and what the news media reported. It's actually quite
interesting.

John Roth
Marc Verhaegen - 26 Apr 2008 00:53 GMT
> http://www.ajhg.org/AJHG/fulltext/S0002-9297%2808%2900255-3?large_figure=true
> It's open access. Enjoy seeing the difference between what they
> actually said and what the news media reported. It's actually quite
> interesting.

Thanks a lot, John.
jerry warner - 26 Apr 2008 06:09 GMT
Thanks. as the american media nears its extinction!

> On Apr 25, 7:35 am, "Robert Karl Stonjek" <ston...@ozemail.com.au>
> wrote:
[quoted text clipped - 16 lines]
>
> John Roth
Daryl Krupa - 26 Apr 2008 10:19 GMT
> Study says near extinction threatened people
>
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
> > drought, according to an analysis released Thursday.
> ...

> The paper they've sensationalized is here:
>
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> actually said and what the news media reported. It's actually quite
> interesting.

 John Roth:
 Re: difference between "we said" and "they said":
 Do you see any indication that the following is accurate?
" The report notes that a separate study by researchers at
Stanford University estimated the number of early humans
may have shrunk as low as 2,000
before numbers began to expand again
in the early Stone Age.  "
 I don't see "Stanford", "2,000", or "early Stone Age"
in the AJHG article, although I do see
"Middle Stone Age" and "Late Stone Age".
 I also see that the
"brush with extinction 70,000 years ago",
presumably before
"numbers began to expand again in the early Stone Age",
seems to have occurred at the same time as
"Later dispersal waves from the eastern African population"
at
"the beginning of African LSA approximately 70,000 ybp",
as described in the AJHG article's caption for their Figure 2.
 So, according to the Associated Press,
"the number of early humans may have shrunk
as low as 2,000"
"70,000 years ago",
then
"numbers began to expand again in the early Stone Age",
which is also
"the beginning of African L[ate] S[tone] A[ge]
approximately 70,000 ybp".
 "Late" = "early",
and
"Later dispersal waves ... 70,000 ybp" =
"brush with extinction 70,000 years ago".
 Oh yeah, I enjoyed that foray into cognitive dissonance.

 FWIW, the authors do note that the rise of
a distinctive southern African mtDNA marker
could have occurred anywhere between
about 150,000 and about 100,000 years ago,
but that imprecision still doesn't jibe with
a recent analysis that suggested strongly that
our Last Common Ancestor lived
about 100,000 years ago, or less.
 E.g.: 76 ka (47–110 ka):

Time Dependency of Molecular Rate Estimates and
Systematic Overestimation of Recent Divergence Times
http://mbe.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/full/22/7/1561

 May I be forgiven for being confused?

- Daryl Krupa
Daryl Krupa - 26 Apr 2008 10:48 GMT
> Study says near extinction threatened people

> > (AP) -- Human beings may have had a brush with extinction
> > 70,000 years ago, an extensive genetic study suggests.
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> ...
> The paper they've sensationalized is here:

> http://www.ajhg.org/AJHG/fulltext/S0002-9297%2808%2900255-3?large_fig...

> It's open access. Enjoy seeing the difference between what they
> actually said and what the news media reported. It's actually quite
> interesting.

 John Roth:
 Re: difference between "we said" and "they said":
 Do you see any indication that the following is accurate?
" The report notes that a separate study by researchers at
Stanford University estimated the number of early humans
may have shrunk as low as 2,000
before numbers began to expand again
in the early Stone Age.  "
 I don't see "Stanford", "2,000", or "early Stone Age"
in the AJHG article, although I do see
"Middle Stone Age" and "Late Stone Age".
 I also see that the
"brush with extinction 70,000 years ago",
presumably before
"numbers began to expand again in the early Stone Age",
seems to have occurred at the same time as
"Later dispersal waves from the eastern African population"
at
"the beginning of African LSA approximately 70,000 ybp",
as described in the AJHG article's caption for their Figure 2.
 So, according to the Associated Press,
"the number of early humans may have shrunk
as low as 2,000"
"70,000 years ago",
then
"numbers began to expand again in the early Stone Age",
which is also
"the beginning of African L[ate] S[tone] A[ge]
approximately 70,000 ybp".
 "Late" = "early",
and
"Later dispersal waves ... 70,000 ybp" =
"brush with extinction 70,000 years ago".
 Oh yeah, I enjoyed that foray into cognitive dissonance.

 FWIW, the authors do note that the rise of
a distinctive southern African mtDNA marker
could have occurred anywhere between
about 150,000 and about 100,000 years ago,
but that imprecision still doesn't jibe with
a recent analysis that suggested strongly that
our Last Common Ancestor lived
about 100,000 years ago, or less.
 E.g.: 76 ka (47–110 ka):

Time Dependency of Molecular Rate Estimates and
Systematic Overestimation of Recent Divergence Times
http://mbe.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/full/22/7/1561

 May I be forgiven for being confused?

- Daryl Krupa
 
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