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Natural Science Forum / Biology / Paleontology / June 2004



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The "asteroid theory" is BOGUS !!!!

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Ted Harvard - 20 Jun 2004 02:30 GMT
This theory is bogus, only morons believe in such nonsense.

There are much better theories :

A) The dinos were killed by aliens from outer space

B) The dinos became homosexual

C) The dinos were hunted and killed by cats.

C) is the best theory AFAIK, because cats still exist and dinos not.

But "asteroid hit the earth" or "earth hit the asteroid", this is
CRAP, BOGUS, NONSENSE.
EarlCox - 20 Jun 2004 02:56 GMT
One of the reasons I enjoy subscribing to news groups is the opportunity to
learn from the reasoned arguments of other like minded individuals. I have
always felt, myself, that the asteroid collision hypothesis, regardless of
the overwhelming evidence and the careful debate that has continued in the
scientific community, just lacked enough "pizzazz"! I suggest that the
evidence for an impact --  iridium and charcoal deposits at the KT boundary,
tektite radiation patterns from the central American impact site, etc. --
has all been manufactured by a secret consortium of influential
paleontologists who were simply tired of their decades-long inability to
explain dinosaur extinction. I offer as conclusive proof, of course, the
fact that an entire class of  avetheropods are still among us (although my
ex-wife got the African Grey in our divorce!) Thus I am glad to see your
bold exposé of this obviously contrived and poorly fabricated lie!!!
Everyone knows that asteroids, like the Galilean moons of Jupiter, and all
Class G stars, are made of Mass-repelling Element X21, a form of cosmic
rubber, and that any celestial body approaching earth would first be driven
away by the ant-gravity fields produced by X21 (whose force, naturally,
follows the inverse triangle rule) and, second, even if it managed to elude
the earth's mass, would, as a type of frictionless rubber, simply bounce
harmlessly away on impact.

Keep up the good work. Well researched and well thought out and well
presented arguments like yours will always be welcome on this news group. I
only wish everyone could follow your example!!!

Earl

> This theory is bogus, only morons believe in such nonsense.
>
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
> But "asteroid hit the earth" or "earth hit the asteroid", this is
> CRAP, BOGUS, NONSENSE.
EarlCox - 20 Jun 2004 03:57 GMT
That, of course, should be anti-gravity ("...driven away by the ant-gravity
fields..."). Sorry for the typo! I am not ready, yet, to publicly announce
my discovery that the entire gravitational field of the earth (and by
implication, all the other objects in the visible universe) is generated by
hymenoptera super-colonies only now being discovered in South America and
around the Mediterranean. I believe, naturally, that once I amass sufficient
evidence to support this theory, it will not only lay to rest any doubts
about the universal existence of life (what I like to call the pan-cosmic
myrmidons) but will also make SETI irrelevant (see my brilliant theories on
emergent behaviors, swarm intelligence, insect IQ measurements and their
relationship to the Bush Administration).

The implications for paleontology are only too obvious!

Earl

> One of the reasons I enjoy subscribing to news groups is the opportunity to
> learn from the reasoned arguments of other like minded individuals. I have
[quoted text clipped - 37 lines]
> > But "asteroid hit the earth" or "earth hit the asteroid", this is
> > CRAP, BOGUS, NONSENSE.
Inyo - 20 Jun 2004 02:57 GMT
>Subject: The "asteroid theory" is BOGUS !!!!
>From: rest_ampere@yahoo.com  (Ted Harvard)
>Message-ID: <f89143b2.0406191730.7e01d1b6@posting.google.com>

>This theory is bogus, only morons believe in such nonsense.
>
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
>
>C) is the best theory AFAIK, because cats still exist and dinos not.

Actually, in trying to play the part of an incendiary livewire--and perhaps
inspire jocularity through the instigation of risibles--the poster actually
comes close to unintentionally advocating what was once, and might still be,
considered a fruitful avenue of investigation into the demise of the dinosaur.
See the poster's letter "B)" idea, and then read the following from a web page
at http://www.answersingenesis.org/docs/3051.asp :

"More Focus Articles from 1988

"Did Dinosaurs disappear because they had no Mate?
The latest theory on dinosaur extinction is that they started producing young
of all the same sex and thus could find no mates.
Professor David Crews, professor of zoology at the University of Texas in
Austin, and Professor William Gutzke, of Memphis State University, found during
three years of research with leopard geckos (I 5 cm lizards from the Middle
East) that the sex of geckos, like many reptiles, is decided during incubation
- not (as in mammals) by genes.
The mechanics are not completely understood, but the professors found that
warmer conditions produced males and cooler eggs became females. Even if a warm
gecko hatched as a female, she behaved like a male and repelled males.
If dinosaurs hatched this way, it is thought, changes in the earth's
temperature long ago could mean that all the eggs hatched into dinosaurs of the
same sex.

"Nature,
28 April, 1988 (pp. 832-4),
The Australian,
May 3, 1988 (p. 7)".

"Eight Miles High"--my solo, acoustic, instrumental rendition of the famous
Pop/Rock song by The Byrds (Clark/Hillman/Mcguinn composers)
http://members.aol.com/geowrs/music/eightmileshigh.html
Inyo - 20 Jun 2004 03:19 GMT
>Subject: Re: The "asteroid theory" is BOGUS !!!!
>From: geowrs@aol.com  (Inyo)
>Message-ID: <20040619215734.25561.00000297@mb-m29.aol.com>

>See the poster's letter "B)" idea, and then read the following from a web
>page
>at http://www.answersingenesis.org/docs/3051.asp :

That'll learn me. I just took another look at the web page I quoted from. The
quote is accurate, of course, but the web page itself is actually run by
creationists. While I am indeed a Christian, I am in no way a Creationist, nor
do I advocate or propogate their ideas. I simply did a quck Google search for
the phrase, "dinosaur single sex theory of extinction," because I recollected
somewhere in the dim recesses of my memory that there had been a provocative
idea proposed several years ago regarding the effect that tempertaures might
have had on the development of gender in dinosaurs. Without even checking
thoroughly the pedigreed of the web page, I rushed off the quote and the URL.
Of course, the dinosaur extinction idea I referenced was originally written up
in the respected journal Nature in 1988.

"Eight Miles High"--my solo, acoustic, instrumental rendition of the famous
Pop/Rock song by The Byrds (Clark/Hillman/Mcguinn composers)
http://members.aol.com/geowrs/music/eightmileshigh.html
deowll - 21 Jun 2004 04:42 GMT
Gators and their kin have the same problem. Some years most are boys and
some years most are girls.

> >Subject: The "asteroid theory" is BOGUS !!!!
> >From: rest_ampere@yahoo.com  (Ted Harvard)
[quoted text clipped - 44 lines]
> Pop/Rock song by The Byrds (Clark/Hillman/Mcguinn composers)
> http://members.aol.com/geowrs/music/eightmileshigh.html
John Harshman - 21 Jun 2004 13:55 GMT
>>Subject: The "asteroid theory" is BOGUS !!!!
>>From: rest_ampere@yahoo.com  (Ted Harvard)
[quoted text clipped - 40 lines]
> The Australian,
> May 3, 1988 (p. 7)".

I prefer the "cats" theory, myself. Problems with the temperature theory:

1. The earth is a big place. It has lots of different temperatures in
different locations.

2. Global mean temperatures changed several times over the lifetime of
dinosaurs without causing them to become extinct.

3. The end-Cretaceous was not particularly a time of global temperature
change.

4. We have no information on the sex-determination system of any
dinosaurs other than certain derived theropods, and these don't have a
temperature-dependent system.

5. Groups that we know have a temperature-dependent sex-determination
system didn't become extinct.

6. The K-T event involved the extinction of all sorts of other things in
addition to dinosaurs. It would be nice to have a theory of mass
extinctions that actually explains the extinction of the species that
went extinct, rather than a tiny proportion of them.

Why is it that Nature will publish any ridiculous, speculative notion as
long as it has "dinosaur" in the title? This is a subset of the
charismatic megafauna problem.
Inyo - 21 Jun 2004 17:12 GMT
>Subject: Re: The "asteroid theory" is BOGUS !!!!
>Message-ID: <40D6DAC5.4040406@pacbell.net>
>From: John Harshman jharshman.diespamdie@pacbell.net
>User-Agent: Mozilla/5.0 (Macintosh; U; PPC; en-US; rv:0.9.4) Gecko/20011130
>Netscape6/6.2.1

>Problems with the temperature theory:

I am, of course, not the designated, formal advocate of the "temperature
theory." I do believe, though, that i's an interesting idea, even a provocative
one--an idea that certainly deserves more intensive, serious investigations.

So, just to play "devil's advocate", and perhaps stimulate some additional
thought on the subject, here are brief rebuttals to the objections:

>1. The earth is a big place. It has lots of different temperatures in
>different locations.

Mid Cretaceous was a period of overall global warmth to begin with (no Polar
ice caps, for exampe), with a topical to subtropical climate--but, by later
Cretaceous there was greater seasonality, plus wider extremes between
equatorial and polar temperatures. Clearly, the dinosaurs had adjusted to the
greater extremes in seasons and temperatures as the Cretaceous closed. So,
perhaps even a slight, dramtic global push in either direction--colder or
warmer conditions for a critical duriation--could have precipitated a
widespread dinosaurian embryonic sex-determination. Also, it is quite possible
that dinosaurs preferred to lay their eggs in a select few ecological
niches--localities that were then easily subjected to the critical change in
temperatures, creating same-sex gender identities.

>2. Global mean temperatures changed several times over the lifetime of
>dinosaurs without causing them to become extinct.

But, that does not mean that a temperature change did not finally cause
dinosaurian collapse. An analogy comes to mind: While a person may have driven
for years without incurring a fatal accident--having survived many close
encounters with vehicular collisions--that pattern could well change anytime in
the future.

>3. The end-Cretaceous was not particularly a time of global temperature
>change.

My understanding is that the supposed bolide impact alone near the KT boundary
could have easily caused global temperature disruptions--either a so-called
"nuclear winter," or a super-heated "greenhouse" effect. Either way, the
dinosaurs were subjected to radical gradients in thermal extremes. One also
needs to factor in the enormous amounts of dust and gasses vented by the Deccan
Traps volcanics in latest Cretaceous times.

>4. We have no information on the sex-determination system of any
>dinosaurs other than certain derived theropods, and these don't have a
>temperature-dependent system.

Absence of evidence is of course never evidence of absence.
Nontemperature-dependant tendencies we might find in derived creatures do not
necessarily predict what kinds of biological mechanics operated in the dinosaur
system.

>5. Groups that we know have a temperature-dependent sex-determination
>system didn't become extinct.

Just because some creatures survived the temperature change does not preclude
the idea that dinosaurs were especially sensitive to that change and thus
perished from the Earth.

>6. The K-T event involved the extinction of all sorts of other things in
>addition to dinosaurs. It would be nice to have a theory of mass
>extinctions that actually explains the extinction of the species that
>went extinct, rather than a tiny proportion of them.

An important point to note is that the temperature-change scenario of same-sex
gender orientation in dinosaurs was only one symptom of the overall chaos
precipitated by the end-time Cretaceous extinction mechanism. The temperature
change alone was likely not the cause of the great mass extinction; rather an
entire chain of events, including a lethal (to dinosaurs) temperature
alteration, was set in motion by the killing mechanism.

>Why is it that Nature will publish any ridiculous, speculative notion as
>long as it has "dinosaur" in the title? This is a subset of the
>charismatic megafauna problem.

Automatically labeling the temperature-change scenario of dinosaur demise as a
"ridiculous, speculative notion" seems very much counterproductive. One must
recollect that when first proposed, the KT bolide collision was similarly
dismissed as speculative and ridiculous. There is of course great controversy
whether the bolide directly caused the mass extinction, but there is pretty
much universal acceptance in the scientific community--through the careful
research of many independent investigators--that the extraterrestrial collision
occurred during the latter stages of the Cretaceous.

All I'm suggesting here is that perhaps such old "odd-ball" theory of dinosaur
disappearance needs a seious, thorough reeamination. Sometimes "crazy"
scientific proposals--like the concept of Continental Drift (once labeled
"seriously deranged")--turn out to be true after all when scientists decide to
disregard collective ridicule and persue original lines of investigation.

"Deep Night"--my solo, acoustic, instrumental 6-string guitar rendition of a
song co-written by 1920-30s crooner Rudy Vallee.
http://members.aol.com/geowrs/music/deepnight.html
Ken Shaw - 21 Jun 2004 17:34 GMT
>>Subject: Re: The "asteroid theory" is BOGUS !!!!
>>Message-ID: <40D6DAC5.4040406@pacbell.net>
[quoted text clipped - 91 lines]
> "seriously deranged")--turn out to be true after all when scientists decide to
> disregard collective ridicule and persue original lines of investigation.

Consider the scenario you suggest. The bolide impact causes a global
"nuclear winter effect". Now all or almost all terrestrial plant life
dies. The rapidly starving dinosaurs lay clutches which due to the
extreme temperatures result in single sex hatchings. So rather than
starvation being the cause it is some sort of drawn out affair involving
reproductive failure. Now if any significant number of pre impact
individuals survive till the ecosystem recovers (what is breeding if
they don't?) why don't they mate with the younger single sex individuals?

Isn't it much more probable that the impact caused global disruptions to
the ecosystem which resulted in the die off of almost all terrestrial
plants and phytoplankton which directly crashed the food chain which
killed most of the larger animals and many of the smaller ones?

Ken
Chris Keller - 21 Jun 2004 19:07 GMT
The asteroid theory is good.

You are a fartass.

Chris----MtLoweMan@aol.Com
John Harshman - 21 Jun 2004 19:20 GMT
> The asteroid theory is good.
>
> You are a fartass.

What? Oh, AOL. And, I think, a candidate for a WebTV account.
Inyo - 23 Jun 2004 16:24 GMT
>Subject: Re: The "asteroid theory" is BOGUS !!!!
>Message-ID: <40D726FC.5020209@pacbell.net>
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
>newssvr25.news.prodigy.com 1087842020 ST000 66.126.169.52
>Organization: SBC http://yahoo.sbc.com

>> The asteroid theory is good.
>>
>> You are a fartass.
>
>What? Oh, AOL. And, I think, a candidate for a WebTV account.

Curious Usenet behavior, indeed. If one is so clearly prejudiced in cyberspace
toward folks who post from specific Internet Service Providers--one can only
speculate with concern how such a person treats other human beings of differing
race, ethnicity or social status.
John Harshman - 23 Jun 2004 19:24 GMT
>>Subject: Re: The "asteroid theory" is BOGUS !!!!
>>Message-ID: <40D726FC.5020209@pacbell.net>
[quoted text clipped - 15 lines]
> speculate with concern how such a person treats other human beings of differing
> race, ethnicity or social status.

All right, all right. Present company excepted.
Chris Keller - 23 Jun 2004 20:33 GMT
How totally bogus.

Chris----MtLoweMan@aol.Com
John Harshman - 24 Jun 2004 00:46 GMT
> How totally bogus.
>
> Chris----MtLoweMan@aol.Com

Present company not excepted.
Ken Shaw - 21 Jun 2004 19:43 GMT
> The asteroid theory is good.
>
> You are a fartass.
>
> Chris----MtLoweMan@aol.Com

Well I'm glad you had such a well thought response to my points. You
might want to read you terms of service agreement with aol before
starting a flame war.

Ken
Chris Keller - 22 Jun 2004 08:00 GMT
Now wait a minute.    

I did NOT address my response to any identifiable person.

There are other good theories as well.

Chris
Chris----MtLoweMan@aol.Com
John Harshman - 21 Jun 2004 18:03 GMT
>>Subject: Re: The "asteroid theory" is BOGUS !!!!
>>Message-ID: <40D6DAC5.4040406@pacbell.net>
[quoted text clipped - 18 lines]
> Cretaceous there was greater seasonality, plus wider extremes between
> equatorial and polar temperatures.

Sure, but as I understand it, there weren't any polar ice caps then
either. Just a bit more seasonality, and not a big thing. "Nuclear
winters" and such are another matter.

> Clearly, the dinosaurs had adjusted to the
> greater extremes in seasons and temperatures as the Cretaceous closed. So,
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
> niches--localities that were then easily subjected to the critical change in
> temperatures, creating same-sex gender identities.

That's another pile of speculation on top of the rest of it. At some
point we must reach the level of special pleading.

>>2. Global mean temperatures changed several times over the lifetime of
>>dinosaurs without causing them to become extinct.
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
> encounters with vehicular collisions--that pattern could well change anytime in
> the future.

I don't think your analogy is valid. You can't really dodge a
temperature change through chance. It happens, it has predictable
effects. You might claim that the temperature change in question was of
greater magnitude than any previous one, but I don't see another out.

>>3. The end-Cretaceous was not particularly a time of global temperature
>>change.
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> needs to factor in the enormous amounts of dust and gasses vented by the Deccan
> Traps volcanics in latest Cretaceous times.

Still, the length of time proposed for any of these scenarios is fairly
short, much less than the probably reproductive lifetime of a big animal.

>>4. We have no information on the sex-determination system of any
>>dinosaurs other than certain derived theropods, and these don't have a
>>temperature-dependent system.
>
> Absence of evidence is of course never evidence of absence.

I disagree with that as a general rule, but never mind.

> Nontemperature-dependant tendencies we might find in derived creatures do not
> necessarily predict what kinds of biological mechanics operated in the dinosaur
> system.

True. We have in fact absolutely no data upon which to make a decision.
I don't consider that a virtue of the theory, though.

>>5. Groups that we know have a temperature-dependent sex-determination
>>system didn't become extinct.
>
> Just because some creatures survived the temperature change does not preclude
> the idea that dinosaurs were especially sensitive to that change and thus
> perished from the Earth.

True, but it introduces another layer of speculation: not only was their
sex-determination system temperature-dependent, but it was also
temperature-dependent in a different way than similar systems in other
such organisms.

>>6. The K-T event involved the extinction of all sorts of other things in
>>addition to dinosaurs. It would be nice to have a theory of mass
[quoted text clipped - 14 lines]
> Automatically labeling the temperature-change scenario of dinosaur demise as a
> "ridiculous, speculative notion" seems very much counterproductive.

Only if failing to do so would be somehow productive, and I don't see how.

> One must
> recollect that when first proposed, the KT bolide collision was similarly
> dismissed as speculative and ridiculous.

Ridiculous, perhaps. Speculative? It was, after all, based on actual
data, as opposed to most theories of dinosaur extinction.

> There is of course great controversy
> whether the bolide directly caused the mass extinction, but there is pretty
> much universal acceptance in the scientific community--through the careful
> research of many independent investigators--that the extraterrestrial collision
> occurred during the latter stages of the Cretaceous.

During the latter stages? At the end, I would say.

> All I'm suggesting here is that perhaps such old "odd-ball" theory of dinosaur
> disappearance needs a seious, thorough reeamination. Sometimes "crazy"
> scientific proposals--like the concept of Continental Drift (once labeled
> "seriously deranged")--turn out to be true after all when scientists decide to
> disregard collective ridicule and persue original lines of investigation.

Not a bad defense. The death blow to this theory, as a scientific
theory, is that I can't think of any way that we could ever devise an
actual test for it. (Well, it's only a death blow if nobody else can
come up with a test either. But I'm feeling pretty confident on that.)
In this it has a lot in common with many other theories of dinosaur
extinction. My theory is that iridium was like kryptonite for dinosaurs.
Don Kenney - 20 Jun 2004 14:28 GMT
>This theory is bogus, only morons believe in such nonsense.
>
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
>But "asteroid hit the earth" or "earth hit the asteroid", this is
>CRAP, BOGUS, NONSENSE.

There really is abundant evidence for an asteroid impact at the end of
the Cretaceous.  What's missing is a mechanism for that impact to
selectively kill off critters cheerfully munching plants on the other
side of the planet.

C. seems unlikely as seagoing mosasaurs and flying pterodactyls seem
to have vanished about the same time as the dinosaurs.  As is well
known, cats don't much like to swim and rarely fly very far without
human assistance.  Their their attitude seems to be unsatisfactory for
marine predation and their aerodynamics are not all that good.
deowll - 21 Jun 2004 04:54 GMT
> >This theory is bogus, only morons believe in such nonsense.
> >
[quoted text clipped - 15 lines]
> selectively kill off critters cheerfully munching plants on the other
> side of the planet.

I don't remember who wrote the ariticle but you would not have wanted to be
on the exact opposite side of planet earth when the rock hit. All the
earthquake waves crossed at that point. Estimates I've read went as high as
30 for the quake. Big tidal waves on all shores.

You also got acid rain over the entire planet and then lots of dust in the
upper atomosphere keeps the heat up high and the temps at the surface low.
Not much light. Try growing plants of any kind in viniger in your frig.
Then things heat up due to carbon dioxide a few years later for a decade
maybe but the dust does settle out sooner or later and life goes on.

> C. seems unlikely as seagoing mosasaurs and flying pterodactyls seem
> to have vanished about the same time as the dinosaurs.  As is well
> known, cats don't much like to swim and rarely fly very far without
> human assistance.  Their their attitude seems to be unsatisfactory for
> marine predation and their aerodynamics are not all that good.

I say the acme food processing company showed up and turned them all into
cat food. Either that or maybe they developed birth control and everybody
went on the pill. ?8^)
Christopher Allan - 21 Jun 2004 14:27 GMT
<snip>
> I don't remember who wrote the ariticle but you would not have wanted to be
> on the exact opposite side of planet earth when the rock hit. All the
> earthquake waves crossed at that point. Estimates I've read went as high as
> 30 for the quake. Big tidal waves on all shores.

30? I highly doubt that.
Energy released from earthquakes = 31^R
Thats 31,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 Joules
Enough energy to vaporise 92,592,592,592,592,592,592,592,592
litres of water from 20 degrees. There is about
1,358,827,280,837,056,256,168
litres of water in the world. This means that the energy would be enough
to vaporise the earths water more than 68,000 times over.
The sun only evaporates 1,167,090,916,056,367 litres daily from an
average of 20 degrees. It would take the sun 79,336,229,353 days to
evaporate that much water or 217,359,532 years.
Now an asteroid can travel at 40Km/s.
For it to create that much energy from a sudden impact it would need
have a mass of 155,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 Kg
The earth weighs 5,980,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 Kg
That means the asteroid would be over 250 times as massive as the earth.
Logic tells me this simply isn't the case.
You would be hard pressed to find many earth quakes over 10 on
the richter scale. An asteroid could reach 12 or 13 if large enough.

> You also got acid rain over the entire planet and then lots of dust in the
> upper atomosphere keeps the heat up high and the temps at the surface low.
> Not much light. Try growing plants of any kind in viniger in your frig.
> Then things heat up due to carbon dioxide a few years later for a decade
> maybe but the dust does settle out sooner or later and life goes on.

Why did any life survive at all if conditions were so bad?

<snip>
Ken Shaw - 21 Jun 2004 14:51 GMT
> <snip>
>
[quoted text clipped - 28 lines]
> You would be hard pressed to find many earth quakes over 10 on
> the richter scale. An asteroid could reach 12 or 13 if large enough.

I hope he meant 13. I seem to remember an article making that claim.

>>You also got acid rain over the entire planet and then lots of dust in the
>>upper atomosphere keeps the heat up high and the temps at the surface low.
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>
> Why did any life survive at all if conditions were so bad?

small very fecund animals , like primitive mammals, are very hard to
drive to extinction if any food remains in the environment. small very
mobile animals, like birds, can move fairly large distances seeking food
and shelter even in really bad conditions. Crocodilians are amazingly
starvation resistant and many may have just hunkered down and outwaited
the bad conditions. In the oceans the phytoplankton crash would have
decimated the larger animals since they relied on large quantities of
phytoplankton either directly or indirectly. The smaller a marine animal
gets the better the chance that a population could survive simply by
being lucky in one way or another.

Ken
Christopher Allan - 22 Jun 2004 01:05 GMT
> > Why did any life survive at all if conditions were so bad?
>
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
>
> Ken

True that these animals can survive harsh conditions.
Does anyone know exactly where this theory came from?
I have a hard time believeing that (apart from ground zero)
an asteroid could cause this much dust to be suspended
(I would think asteroids create chunks that dont tend to
want to stay suspended for too long). Call me wrong I don't
know but I don't think its a really good model of how so much
life was wiped in one go. Any other theories kicking around?
Ken Shaw - 22 Jun 2004 04:27 GMT
>>>Why did any life survive at all if conditions were so bad?
>>
[quoted text clipped - 19 lines]
> know but I don't think its a really good model of how so much
> life was wiped in one go. Any other theories kicking around?

We know that when a large object strikes the earth a great deal of
material is ejected from the impact site. This includes both small and
large pieces. Mechanically an impact is not dissimilar to exploding a
bomb at or near ground level.

The Chicxulub crater is in excess of 200 km in diameter. The estimate is
that the asteroid that caused it was about 10 km in diameter. This
asteroid would have vaporized more than 200k km^3 of the earth's crust
which is going to mean an awful lot of dust in the atmosphere.

There are a few competing theories which simply don't have enough
evidence to support them as well as the impact. Some researchers claim
that dinosaurs were nearly extinct before the impact but even if true
doesn't account for the rest of the extinction. Another theory involves
the Deccan Traps eruptions but the eruptions went on for at least 5
million years and the extinction event doesn't appear to have been a
long drawn out affair but instead a quick event and a fast global recovery.

Ultimately I think the impact theory will prevail with the
acknowledgment that the global environment was already heavily stressed
and that the 10 km asteroid was simply the coup de grace.

Ken
deowll - 22 Jun 2004 23:04 GMT
> >>>Why did any life survive at all if conditions were so bad?
> >>
[quoted text clipped - 43 lines]
>
> Ken

Agreed. People of the jury I maintain the victim was already in ill health
when the defendent, space rock, entered his hospital room and bludgened him
to death.

The more things going wrong at the time the and the worse they were the
bigger the extinction event.
Christopher Allan - 26 Jun 2004 10:42 GMT
> We know that when a large object strikes the earth a great deal of
> material is ejected from the impact site. This includes both small and
[quoted text clipped - 17 lines]
> acknowledgment that the global environment was already heavily stressed
> and that the 10 km asteroid was simply the coup de grace.

There is another theory involving vast amounts of water which would of
course
be supported by sudden extinction. I am not so sure this is the generally
accepted model though...
deowll - 22 Jun 2004 23:00 GMT
> > <snip>
> >
[quoted text clipped - 30 lines]
>
> I hope he meant 13. I seem to remember an article making that claim.

It could have been a brain drain on my part or a typo on their part but I
seem to recall looking at the number and going huh? I don't always check the
next months corrections.

> >>You also got acid rain over the entire planet and then lots of dust in the
> >>upper atomosphere keeps the heat up high and the temps at the surface low.
[quoted text clipped - 16 lines]
>
> Ken

You still have to wonder why some things made it and others didn't and I
might not understand if I had been able to observe the process. Extinction
occurs.
deowll - 22 Jun 2004 22:53 GMT
> <snip>
> > I don't remember who wrote the ariticle but you would not have wanted to
[quoted text clipped - 23 lines]
> You would be hard pressed to find many earth quakes over 10 on
> the richter scale. An asteroid could reach 12 or 13 if large enough.

Off South America and in Alaska were 9. something. That number did seem kind
of larger when you know how the scale works. The point is still on they
would have crossed so it would have been a really bad place to be for a
short span of time. Please consider that lightening can be hotter than the
sun without being the size of the sun or having anything like as large an
energy source rock may well have turned liquid.

> > You also got acid rain over the entire planet and then lots of dust in the
> > upper atomosphere keeps the heat up high and the temps at the surface low.
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>
> Why did any life survive at all if conditions were so bad?

Because for some organisms in some places it wasn't that bad. If you can go
without food for a long time and live on very little like amphibians then
the odds are good for the species. Other kinds of things have eggs or seeds
that could wait till the bleep in conditions cleared up. I think some lotus
seeds were found in China that were sprouted with an age I doubt but the
claim was over 1,000 years. The seed was found in peat. They did it in
nutrient dish after removing the seed coat so I'm not sure if that should
count anyway. Many desert plants have seeds that can last 20 years or more
and that I do trust. Some bacteria may have liked it.

If you were a big creature or plant that needed a lot of resources and may
have had fewer total numbers to start with the odds were worse. The whole
situation may have been agravated by volcanic eruptions going on in India
for some time before and after the rock hits.

> <snip>
Salty Thumb - 25 Jun 2004 17:00 GMT
> <snip>
>> I don't remember who wrote the ariticle but you would not have wanted
[quoted text clipped - 13 lines]
> average of 20 degrees. It would take the sun 79,336,229,353 days to
> evaporate that much water or 217,359,532 years.

Where do you suppose the water they are finding on the moon and Mars came
from?  <splish splash>

Kidding aside, you are assuming 1) all the energy is released as thermal
energy, 2) all the energy goes into vaporizing water (and not stuff like
rocks, trees, dinosaurs).  But I agree the amount of energy seems
excessive.

> Now an asteroid can travel at 40Km/s.
> For it to create that much energy from a sudden impact it would need
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
> You would be hard pressed to find many earth quakes over 10 on
> the richter scale. An asteroid could reach 12 or 13 if large enough.

You are assuming all the energy is coming from the asteroid, and not any
from pent up energy in the earth's crust.  (If you were to chuck a bomb
in the San Andreas fault, the amount of energy released would not be due
only to the amount in the bomb).

>> You also got acid rain over the entire planet and then lots of dust
>> in the upper atomosphere keeps the heat up high and the temps at the
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
>
> <snip>

Life is tenacious?
Christopher Allan - 26 Jun 2004 10:30 GMT
> Where do you suppose the water they are finding on the moon and Mars came
> from?  <splish splash>

What aliens didn't put it there?

> Kidding aside, you are assuming 1) all the energy is released as thermal
> energy, 2) all the energy goes into vaporizing water (and not stuff like
> rocks, trees, dinosaurs).  But I agree the amount of energy seems
> excessive.

I was not assuming complete thermal conversion, I was comparing.
Water is much more uniform that rocks/trees/dinosours and a little more
understandable when it comes to vaoprisation.

> You are assuming all the energy is coming from the asteroid, and not any
> from pent up energy in the earth's crust.  (If you were to chuck a bomb
> in the San Andreas fault, the amount of energy released would not be due
> only to the amount in the bomb).

The energy is calculated from the meterorites kinetic energy.
When it comes to massive asteroids that would obliterate even part of the
world
potential energy in the crust would become negligable.

> > Why did any life survive at all if conditions were so bad?
> >
> > <snip>
>
> Life is tenacious?

Life is fagile.
Salty Thumb - 26 Jun 2004 15:53 GMT
>> Where do you suppose the water they are finding on the moon and Mars
>> came from?  <splish splash>
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
> Water is much more uniform that rocks/trees/dinosours and a little
> more understandable when it comes to vaoprisation.

You gave an energy figure and calculated how much water could be
vaporized by it.  You ignore such things as the amount of (non-thermal)
energy required to move a tectonic plate (I assume that sort of thing
happens in an earthquake) and the amount of energy absorbed by things
other than water.  You can get away with treating trees and dinosaurs as
water, but 1 mL of granite (27 g/cm^3 * .294 J/gC) requires almost 2
times as much heat as water (1 g/mL * 4.187 J/gC) to increase temperature
1 C, so I assume rocks etc are a non-neglible factor.  But like I said
before, the amount of energy (which I did not check) still seems
excessive.

>> You are assuming all the energy is coming from the asteroid, and not
>> any from pent up energy in the earth's crust.  (If you were to chuck
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> the world
> potential energy in the crust would become negligable.

Sure, if you want a contruct a scenario where your asteroid does all the
damage.  I wonder what sort of calculation you have for the size of
meteor that put some of the craters on the moon.

>> > Why did any life survive at all if conditions were so bad?
>> >
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>
> Life is fagile.

Clearly you have never tried to kill something.  If live is so fragile or
"fagile", you'd think Australians would have an easier time getting rid
of all the rabbits infesting the country.
Christopher Allan - 27 Jun 2004 00:37 GMT
<snip>
> Sure, if you want a contruct a scenario where your asteroid does all the
> damage.  I wonder what sort of calculation you have for the size of
> meteor that put some of the craters on the moon.

Do you understand what a comparison is?
When the earthquake is measures as 30 on the richter scale things
become a little impossible. I did not count rocks/trees/animals for
the single fact that for the equivalent energy given by the earthqake
the asteroids energy would make it over 250 times the size of the earth.
Now if an asteroid that massive did hit the earth do you think that plate
techtonics would mean jack? I was showing absurdidty in the scale given
which was corrected shortly after. If however there were an asteroid
that was only 10Km accross yes then obviously it wouldnt destroy
the earth completely you would take into account densities and I suppose
vegitation if you wanted to be completely anal.
The craters on the moon are alien bases.

> >> > Why did any life survive at all if conditions were so bad?
> >> >
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
> "fagile", you'd think Australians would have an easier time getting rid
> of all the rabbits infesting the country.

Funny didn't a disease run through the country over the last few years
decimating
the population to 30% or something (don't quote me on the figure)
I used to live in the country and know first hand what it is like. The
problem
with your little analogy is the number of animals you are considering.
With a vast population of course they can spring back from near extinction.
Now aren't we talking about how dinosaurs became extinct in this thread?
They don't seem to be so resilient.
Salty Thumb - 27 Jun 2004 03:36 GMT
> <snip>
>> Sure, if you want a contruct a scenario where your asteroid does all
[quoted text clipped - 13 lines]
> I suppose vegitation if you wanted to be completely anal.
> The craters on the moon are alien bases.

Alright, now I see your calculations were as unbelievable as the original
claim.  I was assuming 30 was a reasonable or at least plausible
earthquake magnitude.

>> >> > Why did any life survive at all if conditions were so bad?
>> >> >
[quoted text clipped - 17 lines]
> extinction. Now aren't we talking about how dinosaurs became extinct
> in this thread? They don't seem to be so resilient.

Yeah, the thread was about dinosaurs, but you asked why did *any* life
survive.  If you are still going by the monster asteroid and 30 scale
earthquake then I'll agree that life would not survive or would at least
be significantly different than it is today (bacteria clinging to
planetary debris).

However, if you're going by a reasonably sized asteroid, then you only
need 2 (or 1 for parthenogenesis, already pregnant or sperm stored for
delayed conception) regardless of the size of the previous population or
concurrent presence or absence of other members the species.   With a
single event extinction, there is no recurring disease loss, so what's to
stop the surviving populations from progressing once environmental
conditions recover?  Even if your disease had killed every rabbit except
1 pregnant female, eventually you would still have a rabbit problem (99%
percent population loss from myxomatosis in the 1950s).  Perhaps
Australian rabbits are a bad example, as the initial population could
have proceeded from the 19th century importation of hundreds rabbits, but
if you consider the population of iguanas or finches on the Galapagos
islands, certainly, their current population was not due to a percentage
of a vast number immigrants but probably the offspring of a handful of
survivors.  (Or an alien spaceship replicated them).
deowll - 28 Jun 2004 03:32 GMT
> <snip>
> > Sure, if you want a contruct a scenario where your asteroid does all the
[quoted text clipped - 13 lines]
> vegitation if you wanted to be completely anal.
> The craters on the moon are alien bases.

The number 30 was only suggested for a tiny portion of the planet where the
earthqauke waves created by the impact would have converged. It occured to
me at the time that differences in the density of the medium the waves
traveled through might have prevented this from working as envisioned.
However just as waves in water crossing in the correct manner can take from
and reenforce each other I'm sure those traveling through the crust can as
well.

> > >> > Why did any life survive at all if conditions were so bad?
> > >> >
[quoted text clipped - 17 lines]
> Now aren't we talking about how dinosaurs became extinct in this thread?
> They don't seem to be so resilient.
Chris Keller - 30 Jun 2004 00:32 GMT
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